Another Grim Outcome5 November 2008
I was up for about 23 hours, went to bed, and slept, uh, for about three hours.
I decided to get on-line and see if there'd been a further reversal-of-fortune for Proposition 8, the California measure to outlaw same-sex marriage. Although in the past the electorate had voted to ban same-sex marriage, conventional wisdom, going into this election, was that the Proposition would fail by a clear margin. I believed this convention wisdom, and saw it as the one real bright spot of the election.
But as the numbers started to come-in, it began to seem that the Proposition would pass by about the margin by which it had been expected to fail.
Now, with 22587 of 25429 precincts reporting, the measure leads 4,843,531 to 4,519,010 — about 52% to 48%. There has been a little drift in the percentages since I had last checked, but nothing that suggests that there will be some marked difference in the relative shares reported amongst the later-reporting precincts. Basically, the remaining precincts would have to have voted about 64% against the Proposition for it to fail.
I had been planning to remove the
Vote No bumpersticker from my note-book computer if the measure failed. I'm inclined to leave on for a while now, as a gesture of protest. But I'm concerned that it may just depress some of the people around me, so I'm going to conduct an informal poll amongst them.
I guess that, one way or another, the sticker has a short shelf-life. A little more than eight years ago, a Proposition 22, perhaps better known as
the Knight Initiative and as
the defense of marriage act, set out to achieve much the same ends as this latest Proposition 8. Now-a-days,
No-on-Knight is quite meaningless to the vast majority of people, and
No on 22 would be mysterious to an even larger group.