12 October 2018
With a date-stamp of 12 October, the reported status of my probability paper has become
Under review, indicating that a set of reviewers have accepted the assignment. (Editorial Manager seems to be inconsistent about capitalization.) There were no changes in the date stamp when the status was
Reviewers Assigned, so it seems that the first set of reviewers accepted the assignment.
It is possible for reviewers to withdraw, in which case the reported status would revert to
Reviewers Assigned. Otherwise, one expects that within about a month the reviewers will complete their task, and the status will become
Reviews Completed, followed by
Editor Has a Decision.
On previous occasions, rather than saying that my own paper would probability be rejected by reviewers, I've made the statistical claim that most reviews of academic papers result in rejection. But, at this stage, I am more willing to say that my paper will probably be rejected by these reviewers. Still, I hope for a better outcome.